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07/31/2020
On Single Point Forecasts for Fat-Tailed Variables
We discuss common errors and fallacies when using naive "evidence based"...
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05/27/2020
Combining PCR and CT testing for COVID
We analyze the effect of using a screening CT-scan for evaluation of pot...
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09/18/2019
Segregation Dynamics with Reinforcement Learning and Agent Based Modeling
Societies are complex. Properties of social systems can be explained by ...
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11/07/2018
Power and Leadership: A Complex Systems Science Approach Part I - Representation and Dynamics
Historical narratives are dominated by actions of powerful individuals a...
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10/26/2018
Negative Representation and Instability in Democratic Elections
Motivated by the troubling rise of political extremism and instability t...
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10/17/2017
Preliminary steps toward a universal economic dynamics for monetary and fiscal policy
We consider the relationship between economic activity and intervention,...
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08/09/2017