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07/27/2014
Modular Belief Updates and Confusion about Measures of Certainty in Artificial Intelligence Research
Over the last decade, there has been growing interest in the use or meas...
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03/27/2013
The Myth of Modularity in Rule-Based Systems
In this paper, we examine the concept of modularity, an often cited adva...
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03/27/2013
Reasoning About Beliefs and Actions Under Computational Resource Constraints
Although many investigators affirm a desire to build reasoning systems t...
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03/27/2013
Bounded Conditioning: Flexible Inference for Decisions under Scarce Resources
We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bound...
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03/27/2013
The Compilation of Decision Models
We introduce and analyze the problem of the compilation of decision mode...
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03/27/2013
Problem Formulation as the Reduction of a Decision Model
In this paper, we extend the QMRDT probabilistic model for the domain of...
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03/27/2013
Ideal Reformulation of Belief Networks
The intelligent reformulation or restructuring of a belief network can g...
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03/20/2013
Time-Dependent Utility and Action Under Uncertainty
We discuss representing and reasoning with knowledge about the time-depe...
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03/20/2013
An Approximate Nonmyopic Computation for Value of Information
Value-of-information analyses provide a straightforward means for select...
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03/13/2013
Reformulating Inference Problems Through Selective Conditioning
We describe how we selectively reformulate portions of a belief network ...
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03/13/2013
Dynamic Network Models for Forecasting
We have developed a probabilistic forecasting methodology through a synt...
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03/06/2013
A Synthesis of Logical and Probabilistic Reasoning for Program Understanding and Debugging
We describe the integration of logical and uncertain reasoning methods t...
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03/06/2013
Reasoning about the Value of Decision-Model Refinement: Methods and Application
We investigate the value of extending the completeness of a decision mod...
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03/06/2013
Utility-Based Abstraction and Categorization
We take a utility-based approach to categorization. We construct general...
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02/13/2013
A Graph-Theoretic Analysis of Information Value
We derive qualitative relationships about the informational relevance of...
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02/06/2013
Time-Critical Reasoning: Representations and Application
We review the problem of time-critical action and discuss a reformulatio...
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02/06/2013
Perception, Attention, and Resources: A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Graphics Rendering
We describe work to control graphics rendering under limited computation...
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01/30/2013
The Lumiere Project: Bayesian User Modeling for Inferring the Goals and Needs of Software Users
The Lumiere Project centers on harnessing probability and utility to pro...
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01/30/2013
Inferring Informational Goals from Free-Text Queries: A Bayesian Approach
People using consumer software applications typically do not use technic...
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01/23/2013
Attention-Sensitive Alerting
We introduce utility-directed procedures for mediating the flow of poten...
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01/16/2013
Conversation as Action Under Uncertainty
Conversations abound with uncetainties of various kinds. Treating conver...
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01/10/2013
A Bayesian Approach to Tackling Hard Computational Problems
We are developing a general framework for using learned Bayesian models ...
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12/12/2012
Coordinates: Probabilistic Forecasting of Presence and Availability
We present methods employed in Coordinate, a prototype service that supp...
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07/04/2012
Prediction, Expectation, and Surprise: Methods, Designs, and Study of a Deployed Traffic Forecasting Service
We present research on developing models that forecast traffic flow and ...
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06/20/2012