Distributed Revision of Belief Commitment in Multi-Hypothesis Interpretations

03/27/2013
by   Judea Pearl, et al.
0

This paper extends the applications of belief-networks to include the revision of belief commitments, i.e., the categorical acceptance of a subset of hypotheses which, together, constitute the most satisfactory explanation of the evidence at hand. A coherent model of non-monotonic reasoning is established and distributed algorithms for belief revision are presented. We show that, in singly connected networks, the most satisfactory explanation can be found in linear time by a message-passing algorithm similar to the one used in belief updating. In multiply-connected networks, the problem may be exponentially hard but, if the network is sparse, topological considerations can be used to render the interpretation task tractable. In general, finding the most probable combination of hypotheses is no more complex than computing the degree of belief for any individual hypothesis. Applications to medical diagnosis are illustrated.

READ FULL TEXT

page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4

page 5

page 6

page 8

page 9

research
03/06/2013

An efficient approach for finding the MPE in belief networks

Given a belief network with evidence, the task of finding the I most pro...
research
12/21/2018

Reasoning and Facts Explanation in Valuation Based Systems

In the literature, the optimization problem to identify a set of composi...
research
03/27/2013

Updating Probabilities in Multiply-Connected Belief Networks

This paper focuses on probability updates in multiply-connected belief n...
research
03/20/2013

On the Generation of Alternative Explanations with Implications for Belief Revision

In general, the best explanation for a given observation makes no promis...
research
03/10/2000

Local Diagnosis

In an earlier work, we have presented operations of belief change which ...
research
01/11/2010

A betting interpretation for probabilities and Dempster-Shafer degrees of belief

There are at least two ways to interpret numerical degrees of belief in ...
research
01/30/2013

Empirical Evaluation of Approximation Algorithms for Probabilistic Decoding

It was recently shown that the problem of decoding messages transmitted ...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset