
Accumulation Bias in MetaAnalysis: The Need to Consider Time in Error Control
Studies accumulate over time and metaanalyses are mainly retrospective....
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PACBayes UnExpected Bernstein Inequality
We present a new PACBayesian generalization bound. Standard bounds cont...
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A Tight Excess Risk Bound via a Unified PACBayesianRademacherShtarkovMDL Complexity
We present a novel notion of complexity that interpolates between and ge...
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Fast Rates for General Unbounded Loss Functions: from ERM to Generalized Bayes
We present new excess risk bounds for general unbounded loss functions i...
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Fast rates in statistical and online learning
The speed with which a learning algorithm converges as it is presented w...
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A GameTheoretic Analysis of Updating Sets of Probabilities
We consider how an agent should update her uncertainty when it is repres...
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When Ignorance is Bliss
It is commonlyaccepted wisdom that more information is better, and that...
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Updating Probabilities
As examples such as the Monty Hall puzzle show, applying conditioning to...
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Making Decisions Using Sets of Probabilities: Updating, Time Consistency, and Calibration
We consider how an agent should update her beliefs when her beliefs are ...
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Minimum Encoding Approaches for Predictive Modeling
We analyze differences between two informationtheoretically motivated a...
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Maximum Entropy and the Glasses You Are Looking Through
We give an interpretation of the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) Principle in g...
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Follow the Leader If You Can, Hedge If You Must
FollowtheLeader (FTL) is an intuitive sequential prediction strategy t...
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Peter D. Grünwald
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