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04/24/2023
Direction Augmentation in the Evaluation of Armed Conflict Predictions
In many forecasting settings, there is a specific interest in predicting...
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11/29/2022
Score-based calibration testing for multivariate forecast distributions
Multivariate distributional forecasts have become widespread in recent y...
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04/21/2022
From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting
Modeling price risks is crucial for economic decision making in energy m...
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05/24/2018
Generic Conditions for Forecast Dominance
Recent studies have analyzed whether one forecast method dominates anoth...
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09/14/2017
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts with the R package scoringRules
Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over fu...
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03/27/2015