
Logtime Prediction Markets for Interval Securities
We design a prediction market to recover a complete and fully general pr...
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IncentiveCompatible Forecasting Competitions
We initiate the study of incentivecompatible forecasting competitions i...
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Beating Greedy For Approximating Reserve Prices in MultiUnit VCG Auctions
We study the problem of finding personalized reserve prices for unitdem...
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NoRegret and IncentiveCompatible Online Learning
We study online learning settings in which experts act strategically to ...
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Truthful Aggregation of Budget Proposals
We consider a participatory budgeting problem in which each voter submit...
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Crowdsourced Outcome Determination in Prediction Markets
A prediction market is a useful means of aggregating information about a...
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The Possibilities and Limitations of Private Prediction Markets
We consider the design of private prediction markets, financial markets ...
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Budget Constraints in Prediction Markets
We give a detailed characterization of optimal trades under budget const...
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Toward a Market Model for Bayesian Inference
We present a methodology for representing probabilistic relationships in...
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Representing Aggregate Belief through the Competitive Equilibrium of a Securities Market
We consider the problem of belief aggregation: given a group of individu...
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Logarithmic Time Parallel Bayesian Inference
I present a parallel algorithm for exact probabilistic inference in Baye...
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Graphical Representations of Consensus Belief
Graphical models based on conditional independence support concise encod...
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Probabilistic Models for Unified Collaborative and ContentBased Recommendation in SparseData Environments
Recommender systems leverage product and community information to target...
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Modelling Information Incorporation in Markets, with Application to Detecting and Explaining Events
We develop a model of how information flows into a market, and derive al...
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Price Updating in Combinatorial Prediction Markets with Bayesian Networks
To overcome the #Phardness of computing/updating prices in logarithm ma...
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David M. Pennock
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