Weighted regret-based likelihood: a new approach to describing uncertainty

09/05/2013
by   Joseph Y. Halpern, et al.
0

Recently, Halpern and Leung suggested representing uncertainty by a weighted set of probability measures, and suggested a way of making decisions based on this representation of uncertainty: maximizing weighted regret. Their paper does not answer an apparently simpler question: what it means, according to this representation of uncertainty, for an event E to be more likely than an event E'. In this paper, a notion of comparative likelihood when uncertainty is represented by a weighted set of probability measures is defined. It generalizes the ordering defined by probability (and by lower probability) in a natural way; a generalization of upper probability can also be defined. A complete axiomatic characterization of this notion of regret-based likelihood is given.

READ FULL TEXT

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset

Sign in with Google

×

Use your Google Account to sign in to DeepAI

×

Consider DeepAI Pro