Simultaneous Decorrelation of Matrix Time Series
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We propose a contemporaneous bilinear transformation for matrix time series to alleviate the difficulties in modelling and forecasting large number of time series together. More precisely the transformed matrix splits into several small matrices, and those small matrix series are uncorrelated across all times. Hence an effective dimension-reduction is achieved by modelling each of those small matrix series separately without the loss of information on the overall linear dynamics. We adopt the bilinear transformation such that the rows and the columns of the matrix do not mix together, as they typically represent radically different features. As the targeted transformation is not unique, we identify an ideal version through a new normalization, which facilitates the no-cancellation accumulation of the information from different time lags. The non-asymptotic error bounds of the estimated transformation are derived, leading to the uniform convergence rates of the estimation. The proposed method is illustrated numerically via both simulated and real data examples.
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