Regularized Estimation of High-Dimensional Vector AutoRegressions with Weakly Dependent Innovations

12/19/2019

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by   Ricardo P. Masini, et al.

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There has been considerable advance in understanding the properties of sparse regularization procedures in high-dimensional models. Most of the work is limited to either independent and identically distributed setting, or time series with independent and/or (sub-)Gaussian innovations. We extend current literature to a broader set of innovation processes, by assuming that the error process is non-sub-Gaussian and conditionally heteroscedastic, and the generating process is not necessarily sparse. This setting covers fat tailed, conditionally dependent innovations which is of particular interest for financial risk modeling. It covers several multivariate-GARCH specifications, such as the BEKK model, and other factor stochastic volatility specifications.