Quantifying the under-reporting of genital warts cases

03/20/2020
by   David Moriña, et al.
0

Genital warts are a common and highly contagious sexually transmitted disease. They have a large economic burden and affect several aspects of quality of life. Incidence data underestimate the real occurrence of genital warts because this infection is often under-reported, mostly due to their specific characteristics such as the asymptomatic course. Genital warts cases for the analysis were obtained from the catalan public health system database (SIDIAP) for the period 2009-2016, covering 74% of the Catalan population. People under 15 and over 94 years old were excluded from the analysis as the incidence of genital warts in this population is negligible. This work introduces a time series model based on a mixture of two distributions, capable of detecting the presence of under-reporting in the data. In order to identify potential differences in the magnitude of the under-reporting issue depending on sex and age, these covariates were included in the model. This work shows that only about 80% in average of genital warts incidence in Catalunya in the period 2009-2016 was registered, although the frequency of under-reporting has been decreasing over the study period. It can also be seen that the under-reported issue has a deeper impact on women over 30 years old. The registered incidence in the Catalan public health system is underestimating the real burden in almost 10,000 cases in Catalunya, around 23% of the registered cases. The total annual cost in Catalunya is underestimated in at least about 10 million Euros respect the 54 million Euros annually devoted to genital warts in Catalunya, representing 0.4% of the total budget of the public health system.

READ FULL TEXT

page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4

research
06/23/2020

Estimation of COVID-19 under-reporting in Brazilian States through SARI

Due to its impact, COVID-19 has been stressing the academy to search for...
research
10/17/2020

Estimating efficacy of measles supplementary immunization activities via discrete-time modeling of disease incidence time series

Measles is a significant source of global disease burden and child morta...
research
04/24/2019

A Decade of Mal-Activity Reporting: A Retrospective Analysis of Internet Malicious Activity Blacklists

This paper focuses on reporting of Internet malicious activity (or mal-a...
research
06/12/2023

Validation of a Bayesian Learning Model to Predict the Risk for Cannabis Use Disorder

Background: Cannabis use disorder (CUD) is a growing public health probl...
research
06/28/2021

Malaria Risk Mapping Using Routine Health System Incidence Data in Zambia

Improvements to Zambia's malaria surveillance system allow better monito...
research
07/20/2023

Analyzing HC-NJDG Data to Understand the Pendency in High Courts in India

Indian Judiciary is suffering from burden of millions of cases that are ...
research
09/03/2018

A Hierarchical Framework for Correcting Under-Reporting in Count Data

Tuberculosis poses a global health risk and Brazil is among the top twen...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset