Prediction of citation dynamics of individual papers

10/02/2019

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by   Michael Golosovsky, et al.

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We apply stochastic model of citation dynamics of individual papers developed in our previous work (M. Golosovsky and S. Solomon, Phys. Rev. E 95, 012324 (2017)) to forecast citation career of individual papers. We focus not only on the estimate of the future citations of a paper but on the probabilistic margins of such estimate as well.