Pattern Analysis of World Conflicts over the past 600 years

12/19/2018

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by   Gianluca Martelloni, et al.

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We analyze the largest database available for violent conflicts, the one prepared by Brecke (Brecke 2011), covering some 600 years of human history. After normalizing the data for the global human population, we find that the number of casualties tends to follow a power law over the whole data series for the period considered, with no evidence of periodicity. We also observe that the number of conflicts, again normalized for the human population, show a decreasing trend as a function of time. Our result tend to support the idea that war is a statistical phenomenon related to the network structure of the human society.