Outreach Strategies for Vaccine Distribution: A Two-Period Robust Approach

08/27/2019
by   Yuwen Yang, et al.
0

Vaccination has been proven to be the most effective method to prevent infectious diseases. However, in many low and middle-income countries with geographically dispersed and nomadic populations, last-mile vaccine delivery can be extremely complex. Because newborns in remote locations within these countries often do not have direct access to clinics and hospitals, they face significant risk from diseases and infections. An approach known as outreach is typically utilized to raise immunization rates in these situations. A set of these remote population centers is chosen, and over an appropriate time horizon, teams of clinicians and support personnel are sent from a depot to set up mobile clinics at these locations to vaccinate people there and in the immediate surrounding area. In this paper, we model the problem of optimally designing outreach efforts as a mixed integer program that is a combination of a set covering problem and a vehicle routing problem. In addition, because elements relevant to outreach (such as populations and road conditions) are often unstable and unpredictable, we incorporate uncertainty to study the robustness of the worst-case solutions and the related issue of the value of information.

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