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New ways of estimating excess mortality of chronic diseases: Insights from the illness-death model

by   Ralph Brinks, et al.
Heinrich Heine Universität Düsseldorf

Recently, we have shown that the age-specific prevalence of a disease can be related to the transition rates in the illness-death model via a partial differential equation (PDE). In case of a chronic disease, we show that the PDE can be used to estimate excess mortality from prevalence and incidence. Applicability of the new method is demonstrated in a simulation and claims data about diabetes in German men.


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