DeepAI AI Chat
Log In Sign Up

Modeling Self-Propagating Malware with Epidemiological Models

08/05/2022
by   Alesia Chernikova, et al.
0

Self-propagating malware (SPM) has recently resulted in large financial losses and high social impact, with well-known campaigns such as WannaCry and Colonial Pipeline being able to propagate rapidly on the Internet and cause service disruptions. To date, the propagation behavior of SPM is still not well understood, resulting in the difficulty of defending against these cyber threats. To address this gap, in this paper we perform a comprehensive analysis of a newly proposed epidemiological model for SPM propagation, Susceptible-Infected-Infected Dormant-Recovered (SIIDR). We perform a theoretical analysis of the stability of the SIIDR model and derive its basic reproduction number by representing it as a system of Ordinary Differential Equations with continuous time. We obtain access to 15 WananCry attack traces generated under various conditions, derive the model's transition rates, and show that SIIDR fits best the real data. We find that the SIIDR model outperforms more established compartmental models from epidemiology, such as SI, SIS, and SIR, at modeling SPM propagation.

READ FULL TEXT

page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4

06/27/2022

Cyber Network Resilience against Self-Propagating Malware Attacks

Self-propagating malware (SPM) has led to huge financial losses, major d...
08/27/2019

A characterisation of system-wide propagation in the malware landscape

System-wide propagation is frequently observed in malware, and there are...
02/09/2023

Piecewise Linear and Stochastic Models for the Analysis of Cyber Resilience

We model a vehicle equipped with an autonomous cyber-defense system in a...
05/01/2019

On the Convergence Rates of Learning-based Signature Generation Schemes to Contain Self-propagating Malware

In this paper, we investigate the importance of a defense system's learn...
01/28/2022

Agent-based modeling and simulation for malware spreading in D2D networks

This paper presents a new multi-agent model for simulating malware propa...
11/05/2018

Malware Epidemics Effects in a Lanchester Conflict Model

For developing a better comprehension of the consequences of cyber-attac...