Learning to Estimate Without Bias

10/24/2021
by   Tzvi Diskin, et al.
0

We consider the use of deep learning for parameter estimation. We propose Bias Constrained Estimators (BCE) that add a squared bias term to the standard mean squared error (MSE) loss. The main motivation to BCE is learning to estimate deterministic unknown parameters with no Bayesian prior. Unlike standard learning based estimators that are optimal on average, we prove that BCEs converge to Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimators (MVUEs). We derive closed form solutions to linear BCEs. These provide a flexible bridge between linear regrssion and the least squares method. In non-linear settings, we demonstrate that BCEs perform similarly to MVUEs even when the latter are computationally intractable. A second motivation to BCE is in applications where multiple estimates of the same unknown are averaged for improved performance. Examples include distributed sensor networks and data augmentation in test-time. In such applications, unbiasedness is a necessary condition for asymptotic consistency.

READ FULL TEXT

page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4

research
09/12/2019

Synthetic estimation for the complier average causal effect

We propose an improved estimator of the complier average causal effect (...
research
10/09/2020

Rao-Blackwellizing the Straight-Through Gumbel-Softmax Gradient Estimator

Gradient estimation in models with discrete latent variables is a challe...
research
02/07/2018

New Cramer-Rao-Type Bound for Constrained Parameter Estimation

Non-Bayesian parameter estimation under parametric constraints is encoun...
research
05/02/2022

Material Facts Obscured in Hansen's Modern Gauss-Markov Theorem

We show that the abstract and conclusion of Hansen's Econometrica paper,...
research
01/05/2021

A unifying approach on bias and variance analysis for classification

Standard bias and variance (B V) terminologies were originally defined...
research
06/09/2018

An Estimation and Analysis Framework for the Rasch Model

The Rasch model is widely used for item response analysis in application...
research
06/07/2018

Inference for a constrained parameter in presence of an uncertain constraint

We describe a hierarchical Bayesian approach for inference about a param...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset