Large Sample Asymptotics of the Pseudo-Marginal Method

06/26/2018
by   Sebastian M. Schmon, et al.
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The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a variant of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm which samples asymptotically from a probability distribution when it is only possible to estimate unbiasedly an unnormalized version of its density. Practically, one has to trade-off the computational resources used to obtain this estimator against the asymptotic variances of the ergodic averages obtained by the pseudo-marginal algorithm. Recent works optimizing this trade-off rely on some strong assumptions which can cast doubts over their practical relevance. In particular, they all assume that the distribution of the additive error in the log-likelihood estimator is independent of the parameter value at which it is evaluated. Under weak regularity conditions we show here that, as the number of data points tends to infinity, a space-rescaled version of the pseudo-marginal chain converges weakly towards another pseudo-marginal chain for which this assumption indeed holds. A study of this limiting chain allows us to provide parameter dimension-dependent guidelines on how to optimally scale a normal random walk proposal and the number of Monte Carlo samples for the pseudo-marginal method in the large sample regime. This complements and validates currently available results.

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