Integrated Optimization of Predictive and Prescriptive Tasks

01/02/2021
by   Mehmet Kolcu, et al.
0

In traditional machine learning techniques, the degree of closeness between true and predicted values generally measures the quality of predictions. However, these learning algorithms do not consider prescription problems where the predicted values will be used as input to decision problems. In this paper, we efficiently leverage feature variables, and we propose a new framework directly integrating predictive tasks under prescriptive tasks in order to prescribe consistent decisions. We train the parameters of predictive algorithm within a prescription problem via bilevel optimization techniques. We present the structure of our method and demonstrate its performance using synthetic data compared to classical methods like point-estimate-based, stochastic optimization and recently developed machine learning based optimization methods. In addition, we control generalization error using different penalty approaches and optimize the integration over validation data set.

READ FULL TEXT

page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4

research
09/14/2018

Melding the Data-Decisions Pipeline: Decision-Focused Learning for Combinatorial Optimization

Creating impact in real-world settings requires artificial intelligence ...
research
10/22/2021

Predictive machine learning for prescriptive applications: a coupled training-validating approach

In this research we propose a new method for training predictive machine...
research
07/11/2023

Score Function Gradient Estimation to Widen the Applicability of Decision-Focused Learning

Many real-world optimization problems contain unknown parameters that mu...
research
07/11/2018

Optimization over Continuous and Multi-dimensional Decisions with Observational Data

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous a...
research
11/21/2019

JANOS: An Integrated Predictive and Prescriptive Modeling Framework

Business research practice is witnessing a surge in the integration of p...
research
07/29/2016

gLOP: the global and Local Penalty for Capturing Predictive Heterogeneity

When faced with a supervised learning problem, we hope to have rich enou...
research
02/22/2014

From Predictive to Prescriptive Analytics

In this paper, we combine ideas from machine learning (ML) and operation...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset