Inference on Functionals under First Order Degeneracy
share
This paper presents a unified second order asymptotic framework for conducting inference on parameters of the form ϕ(θ_0), where θ_0 is unknown but can be estimated by θ̂_n, and ϕ is a known map that admits null first order derivative at θ_0. For a large number of examples in the literature, the second order Delta method reveals a nondegenerate weak limit for the plug-in estimator ϕ(θ̂_n). We show, however, that the `standard' bootstrap is consistent if and only if the second order derivative ϕ_θ_0"=0 under regularity conditions, i.e., the standard bootstrap is inconsistent if ϕ_θ_0"≠ 0, and provides degenerate limits unhelpful for inference otherwise. We thus identify a source of bootstrap failures distinct from that in Fang and Santos (2018) because the problem (of consistently bootstrapping a nondegenerate limit) persists even if ϕ is differentiable. We show that the correction procedure in Babu (1984) can be extended to our general setup. Alternatively, a modified bootstrap is proposed when the map is in addition second order nondifferentiable. Both are shown to provide local size control under some conditions. As an illustration, we develop a test of common conditional heteroskedastic (CH) features, a setting with both degeneracy and nondifferentiability -- the latter is because the Jacobian matrix is degenerate at zero and we allow the existence of multiple common CH features.
READ FULL TEXT