Inference for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes with periodic mean in the non-ergodic case
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In the paper we consider the problem of estimating parameters entering the drift of a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process in the non-ergodic case, when the underlying stochastic integral is of Young type. We consider the sampling scheme that the process is observed continuously on [0,T] and T→∞. For known Hurst parameter H∈(0.5, 1), i.e. the long range dependent case, we construct a least-squares type estimator and establish strong consistency. Furthermore, we prove a second order limit theorem which provides asymptotic normality for the parameters of the periodic function with a rate depending on H and a non-central Cauchy limit result for the mean reverting parameter with exponential rate. For the special case that the periodicity parameter is the weight of a periodic function, which integrates to zero over the period, we can even improve the rate to √(T).
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