Gradient-based optimisation of the conditional-value-at-risk using the multi-level Monte Carlo method

10/07/2022
by   Sundar Ganesh, et al.
0

In this work, we tackle the problem of minimising the Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of output quantities of complex differential models with random input data, using gradient-based approaches in combination with the Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC) method. In particular, we consider the framework of multi-level Monte Carlo for parametric expectations and propose modifications of the MLMC estimator, error estimation procedure, and adaptive MLMC parameter selection to ensure the estimation of the CVaR and sensitivities for a given design with a prescribed accuracy. We then propose combining the MLMC framework with an alternating inexact minimisation-gradient descent algorithm, for which we prove exponential convergence in the optimisation iterations under the assumptions of strong convexity and Lipschitz continuity of the gradient of the objective function. We demonstrate the performance of our approach on two numerical examples of practical relevance, which evidence the same optimal asymptotic cost-tolerance behaviour as standard MLMC methods for fixed design computations of output expectations.

READ FULL TEXT
research
07/29/2022

Quantifying uncertain system outputs via the multi-level Monte Carlo method – distribution and robustness measures

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability dist...
research
08/20/2019

Sensitivity estimation of conditional value at risk using randomized quasi-Monte Carlo

Conditional value at risk (CVaR) is a popular measure for quantifying po...
research
05/04/2016

Multi Level Monte Carlo methods for a class of ergodic stochastic differential equations

We develop a framework that allows the use of the multi-level Monte Carl...
research
10/01/2020

Multi-level Monte Carlo Finite Difference Methods for Fractional Conservation Laws with Random Data

We establish a notion of random entropy solution for degenerate fraction...
research
07/20/2023

A Fully Parallelized and Budgeted Multi-Level Monte Carlo Method and the Application to Acoustic Waves

We present a novel variant of the multi-level Monte Carlo method that ef...
research
06/16/2020

Multi-level Monte Carlo path integral molecular dynamics for thermal average calculation in the nonadiabatic regime

With the path integral approach, the thermal average in a multi-electron...
research
05/07/2021

A Fully Quantization-based Scheme for FBSDEs

We propose a quantization-based numerical scheme for a family of decoupl...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset