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Forecasting emissions through Kaya identity using Neural Ordinary Differential Equations

01/07/2022

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by Pierre Browne, et al.

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Starting from the Kaya identity, we used a Neural ODE model to predict the evolution of several indicators related to carbon emissions, on a country-level: population, GDP per capita, energy intensity of GDP, carbon intensity of energy. We compared the model with a baseline statistical model - VAR - and obtained good performances. We conclude that this machine-learning approach can be used to produce a wide range of results and give relevant insight to policymakers

Pierre Browne
1 publication
Aranildo Lima
1 publication
Rossella Arcucci
16 publications
Cesar Quilodran Casas
7 publications

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