Features selection in NBA outcome prediction through Deep Learning

11/17/2021

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by   Manlio Migliorati, et al.

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This manuscript is focused on features' definition for the outcome prediction of matches of NBA basketball championship. It is shown how models based on one a single feature (Elo rating or the relative victory frequency) have a quality of fit better than models using box-score predictors (e.g. the Four Factors). Features have been ex ante calculated for a dataset containing data of 16 NBA regular seasons, paying particular attention to home court factor. Models have been produced via Deep Learning, using cross validation.