Evidence Against Evidence Theory (?!)

06/08/2017

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by   Mieczysław A. Kłopotek, et al.

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This paper is concerned with the apparent greatest weakness of the Mathematical Theory of Evidence (MTE) of Shafer Shafer:76, which has been strongly criticized by Wasserman Wasserman:92ijar - the relationship to frequencies. Weaknesses of various proposals of probabilistic interpretation of MTE belief functions are demonstrated. A new frequency-based interpretation is presented overcoming various drawbacks of earlier interpretations.