DeepAI AI Chat
Log In Sign Up

Current and Near-Term AI as a Potential Existential Risk Factor

by   Benjamin S. Bucknall, et al.
University of Connecticut

There is a substantial and ever-growing corpus of evidence and literature exploring the impacts of Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies on society, politics, and humanity as a whole. A separate, parallel body of work has explored existential risks to humanity, including but not limited to that stemming from unaligned Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). In this paper, we problematise the notion that current and near-term artificial intelligence technologies have the potential to contribute to existential risk by acting as intermediate risk factors, and that this potential is not limited to the unaligned AGI scenario. We propose the hypothesis that certain already-documented effects of AI can act as existential risk factors, magnifying the likelihood of previously identified sources of existential risk. Moreover, future developments in the coming decade hold the potential to significantly exacerbate these risk factors, even in the absence of artificial general intelligence. Our main contribution is a (non-exhaustive) exposition of potential AI risk factors and the causal relationships between them, focusing on how AI can affect power dynamics and information security. This exposition demonstrates that there exist causal pathways from AI systems to existential risks that do not presuppose hypothetical future AI capabilities.


page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4


X-Risk Analysis for AI Research

Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to greatly improve societ...

How Do AI Timelines Affect Existential Risk?

Superhuman artificial general intelligence could be created this century...

Examining the Differential Risk from High-level Artificial Intelligence and the Question of Control

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is one of the most transformative technolog...

Challenges for an Ontology of Artificial Intelligence

Of primary importance in formulating a response to the increasing preval...

A Model of Pathways to Artificial Superintelligence Catastrophe for Risk and Decision Analysis

An artificial superintelligence (ASI) is artificial intelligence that is...

Subjectivity Learning Theory towards Artificial General Intelligence

The construction of artificial general intelligence (AGI) was a long-ter...