Computation of the Gradient and the Hessian of the Log-likelihood of the State-space Model by the Kalman Filter

11/19/2020

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by   G. Kitagawa, et al.

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The maximum likelihood estimates of an ARMA model can be obtained by the Kalman filter based on the state-space representation of the model. This paper presents an algorithm for computing gradient of the log-likelihood by an extending the Kalman filter without resorting to the numerical difference. Three examples of seasonal adjustment model and ARMA model are presented to exemplified the specification of structural matrices and initial matrices. An extension of the algorithm to compute the Hessian matrix is also shown.