Closed-form approximations of moments and densities of continuous-time Markov models

08/17/2023
by   Dennis Kristensen, et al.
0

This paper develops power series expansions of a general class of moment functions, including transition densities and option prices, of continuous-time Markov processes, including jump–diffusions. The proposed expansions extend the ones in Kristensen and Mele (2011) to cover general Markov processes. We demonstrate that the class of expansions nests the transition density and option price expansions developed in Yang, Chen, and Wan (2019) and Wan and Yang (2021) as special cases, thereby connecting seemingly different ideas in a unified framework. We show how the general expansion can be implemented for fully general jump–diffusion models. We provide a new theory for the validity of the expansions which shows that series expansions are not guaranteed to converge as more terms are added in general. Thus, these methods should be used with caution. At the same time, the numerical studies in this paper demonstrate good performance of the proposed implementation in practice when a small number of terms are included.

READ FULL TEXT

page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4

research
04/24/2021

Hermite Polynomial-based Valuation of American Options with General Jump-Diffusion Processes

We present a new approximation scheme for the price and exercise policy ...
research
05/21/2021

Option Valuation through Deep Learning of Transition Probability Density

Transition probability densities are fundamental to option pricing. Adva...
research
09/02/2021

Markovian Transition Counting Processes: An Alternative to Markov Modulated Poisson Processes

Stochastic models for performance analysis, optimization and control of ...
research
11/01/2022

Instrumental Processes Using Integrated Covariances

Instrumental variable methods are often used for parameter estimation in...
research
12/17/2017

Continious-time Importance Sampling: Monte Carlo Methods which Avoid Time-discretisation Error

In this paper we develop a continuous-time sequential importance samplin...
research
06/06/2018

Bayesian Inference for Diffusion Processes: Using Higher-Order Approximations for Transition Densities

A powerful tool in many areas of science, diffusion processes model rand...
research
11/22/2021

Conditioning continuous-time Markov processes by guiding

A continuous-time Markov process X can be conditioned to be in a given s...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset