Asymptotics for sliding blocks estimators of rare events

03/02/2020
by   Holger Drees, et al.
0

Drees and Rootzén (2010) have established limit theorems for a general class of empirical processes of statistics that are useful for the extreme value analysis of time series, but do not apply to statistics of sliding blocks, including so-called runs estimators. We generalize these results to empirical processes which cover both the class considered by Drees and Rootzén (2010) and processes of sliding blocks statistics. Using this approach, one can analyze different types of statistics in a unified framework. We show that statistics based on sliding blocks are asymptotically normal with an asymptotic variance which, under rather mild conditions, is smaller than or equal to the asymptotic variance of the corresponding estimator based on disjoint blocks. Finally, the general theory is applied to three well-known estimators of the extremal index. It turns out that they all have the same limit distribution, a fact which has so far been overlooked in the literature.

READ FULL TEXT

page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4

research
05/22/2020

Estimation of cluster functionals for regularly varying time series: sliding blocks estimators

Cluster indices describe extremal behaviour of stationary time series. W...
research
09/06/2023

Asymptotic expansions for blocks estimators: PoT framework

We consider disjoint and sliding blocks estimators of cluster indices fo...
research
07/22/2019

Multiple block sizes and overlapping blocks for multivariate time series extremes

Block maxima methods constitute a fundamental part of the statistical to...
research
10/29/2020

All Block Maxima method for estimating the extreme value index

The block maxima (BM) approach in extreme value analysis fits a sample o...
research
12/30/2021

Optimal Difference-based Variance Estimators in Time Series: A General Framework

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes n...
research
12/27/2022

On the asymptotics of extremal lp-blocks cluster inference

Extremes occur in stationary regularly varying time series as short peri...
research
10/29/2021

On the Disjoint and Sliding Block Maxima method for piecewise stationary time series

Modeling univariate block maxima by the generalized extreme value distri...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset