Assessing racial inequality in COVID-19 testing with Bayesian threshold tests

11/02/2020

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by   Emma Pierson, et al.

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There are racial disparities in the COVID-19 test positivity rate, suggesting that minorities may be under-tested. Here, drawing on the literature on statistically assessing racial disparities in policing, we 1) illuminate a statistical flaw, known as infra-marginality, in using the positivity rate as a metric for assessing racial disparities in under-testing; 2) develop a new type of Bayesian threshold test to measure disparities in COVID-19 testing and 3) apply the test to measure racial disparities in testing thresholds in a real-world COVID-19 dataset.