An Evaluation of novel method of Ill-Posed Problem for the Black-Scholes Equation solution

11/18/2020
by   Kirill V. Golubnichiy, et al.
0

It was proposed by Klibanov a new empirical mathematical method to work with the Black-Scholes equation. This equation is solved forwards in time to forecast prices of stock options. It was used the regularization method because of ill-posed problems. Uniqueness, stability and convergence theorems for this method are formulated. For each individual option, historical data is used for input. The latter is done for two hundred thousand stock options selected from the Bloomberg terminal of University of Washington. It used the index Russell 2000. The main observation is that it was demonstrated that technique, combined with a new trading strategy, results in a significant profit on those options. On the other hand, it was demonstrated the trivial extrapolation techniques results in much lesser profit on those options. This was an experimental work. The minimization process was performed by Hyak Next Generation Supercomputer of the research computing club of University of Washington. As a result, it obtained about 50,000 minimizers. The code is parallelized in order to maximize the performance on supercomputer clusters. Python with the SciPy module was used for implementation. You may find minimizers in the source package that is available on GitHub. Chapter 7 is dedicated to application of machine learning. We were able to improve our results of profitability using minimizers as new data. We classified the minimizer's set to filter for the trading strategy. All results are available on GitHub.

READ FULL TEXT
research
08/25/2022

Application of Convolutional Neural Networks with Quasi-Reversibility Method Results for Option Forecasting

This paper presents a novel way to apply mathematical finance and machin...
research
03/11/2020

A weighted finite difference method for American and Barrier options in subdiffusive Black-Scholes Model

This paper is focused on American option pricing in the subdiffusive Bla...
research
02/26/2020

Using Reinforcement Learning in the Algorithmic Trading Problem

The development of reinforced learning methods has extended application ...
research
11/29/2022

Optimizing Stock Option Forecasting with the Assembly of Machine Learning Models and Improved Trading Strategies

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) mode...
research
11/05/2021

Data-driven Hedging of Stock Index Options via Deep Learning

We develop deep learning models to learn the hedge ratio for S P500 in...
research
06/20/2018

Game-theoretic derivation of upper hedging prices of multivariate contingent claims and submodularity

We investigate upper and lower hedging prices of multivariate contingent...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset