A Gravity Model Analysis of Irish Merchandise Goods Exports under Brexit

12/20/2018

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by   Gerard Keogh, et al.

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We examine the effect of a Hard Brexit on Irish Exports using the PPML Gravity Model and Irish Exports data at the micro level. We find a hard Brexit could reduce Irish national income by over 9 billion euro annually and the effect would be sustained mst in th etraditional sectors of Agriculture and Food production of the Irish economy